A Author provided In the remaining six meetings this year, the probability that interest rates will rise to 1.50% to 1.75%, that is, another 5-yard rate hike is 10.9%, and that interest rates will rise to 1.75% to 2.00%, that is, another rate hike The odds of 6 yards are 31.9%, while the odds of a seven- and eight-yard hike (very hawkish!) are 38.9% and 15.3% (over 50%!). It can probably be judged from this that the market is still relatively hawkish about the future interest rate policy, which may be due to concerns about high inflation.
But on the other hand, as long as inflation shows signs of cooling, the market will quickly adjust its expectations for interest rates. For the short-term stock market, investors who originally viewed monetary policy conservatively may be more whatsapp list willing to re-invest money. There is an opportunity to push up the stock market. Knowing this, what can be done? The above description may seem complicated, but in fact it is the most basic analysis of every professional legal entity.
Therefore, for ordinary investors, if they lack these background knowledge, it is likely to be like holding a knife in the financial market jungle, fighting against a legal person with guns, just to survive. If we don't want to be treated as "leeks" to be harvested, what would be better? Here are our two suggestions: If you are a short-term speculative trader, in addition to the above analysis, you may have to pay attention to the announcement and interpretation of other important data, such as the monthly non-agricultural population employment data (released on the first Friday of each month), etc. , you have to spend a lot of time watching the market, but there is no guarantee that you can survive this way.